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      "term": "Course of treatment (COT)",
      "meaning": "A count of valid FP17 forms for completed general dental COTs; one COT may contain several visits and several treatment types.",
      "source_url": "https://nhsbsa-opendata.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/dental/dental_background_2526_v001.html",
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      "locator": "Table_5a!A1;Table_5b!A1;Table_5c!A1;Table_5d!A1; background section 2.3",
      "boundary": "Retain the source term estimated extraction clinical treatment items. Do not relabel as patients, hospital extraction episodes, teeth per person or instrument units."
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      "term": "Extraction(s)",
      "meaning": "The clinical category covers extraction and specified surgical removal categories, including buried roots and unerupted/impacted/exostosed teeth.",
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      "term": "Adult/child clinical grouping",
      "meaning": "The2025/26 release directly uses patient age at acceptance rather than a charge-status-derived age indicator; the release restates historical data accordingly.",
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      "definition_id": "F04-M08",
      "term": "Dentists with NHS activity",
      "meaning": "National performer headcounts in GDS/PDS/TDS with at least one UDA or UOA recorded in the year; foundation dentists included, DCPs excluded.",
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      "locator": "Table_1a!A4:A5; background workforce definition; narrative section 2.4",
      "boundary": "Not all GDC-registered or practising dentists, FTE, hours, appointment capacity or a private dental workforce count."
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      "term": "Joiners and leavers",
      "meaning": "Current-year joiners have NHS activity now and none in the previous year. Current-year leavers had activity in the previous year and none in the current year.",
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      "locator": "workforce section Joiners/Leavers; section 3.3.2 leaver presentation change",
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      "definition_id": "F04-M10",
      "term": "Final/provisional and revisions",
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      "locator": "section1 Background information",
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      "term": "Scope exclusions used here",
      "meaning": "Patients-seen statistics use different adult/child windows and may include orthodontics; this study instead focuses on annual general COTs, bounded clinical categories and national workforce counts.",
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      "locator": "section 2.4 Patients Seen; release patients-seen data note",
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      "geographic_scope": "England",
      "scope": "National England performers in GDS/PDS/TDS with at least 1 UDA or UOA in the year; not all registered dentists or FTE",
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      ],
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    },
    {
      "claim_id": "F04-D-WF-NET-2526",
      "claim_type": "original_descriptive_calculation",
      "label": "Net NHS-activity joiners",
      "value": 764,
      "unit": "dentist performers",
      "financial_years": [
        "2025/2026"
      ],
      "cohort": "As specified by the input claims",
      "geographic_scope": "England",
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        "F04-IN-WF-LEAVERS-2526"
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      ],
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      ],
      "retrieved_date_local": "2026-10-14",
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    },
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      "unit": "dentist performers",
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      "scope": "National England performers in GDS/PDS/TDS with at least 1 UDA or UOA in the year; not all registered dentists or FTE",
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      "retrieved_date_local": "2026-10-14",
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      "claim_id": "F04-D-WF-STOCK-CHANGE-2425",
      "claim_type": "original_descriptive_calculation",
      "label": "2024/25 NHS-active dentist headcount change",
      "value": 348,
      "unit": "dentist performers",
      "financial_years": [
        "2023/2024",
        "2024/2025"
      ],
      "cohort": "As specified by the input claims",
      "geographic_scope": "England",
      "input_claim_ids": [
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        "F04-IN-WF-DENTISTS-2425"
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      ],
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      ],
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        "Use corrected/restated historical counts from the latest annual release.",
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      ],
      "retrieved_date_local": "2026-10-14",
      "data_status": "Derived from the published annual tables; same scope and revision limitations apply.",
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    },
    {
      "claim_id": "F04-D-WF-STOCK-CHANGE",
      "claim_type": "original_descriptive_calculation",
      "label": "NHS-active dentist headcount change",
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      "unit": "dentist performers",
      "financial_years": [
        "2024/2025",
        "2025/2026"
      ],
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      "geographic_scope": "England",
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        "F04-IN-WF-DENTISTS-2526"
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      ],
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        "Table_1a!B14"
      ],
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        "Not a measure of FTE, hours, patient-facing capacity or instrument purchasing."
      ],
      "retrieved_date_local": "2026-10-14",
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      "statistical_significance_claim": false
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "F04-D-WF-STOCK-GROWTH",
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      "label": "NHS-active dentist headcount percentage change",
      "value": 3.098762928412091,
      "unit": "percent",
      "financial_years": [
        "2024/2025",
        "2025/2026"
      ],
      "cohort": "As specified by the input claims",
      "geographic_scope": "England",
      "input_claim_ids": [
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        "F04-IN-WF-DENTISTS-2526"
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      ],
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        "Table_1a!B13",
        "Table_1a!B14"
      ],
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        "Use corrected/restated latest-release historical counts."
      ],
      "retrieved_date_local": "2026-10-14",
      "data_status": "Derived from the published annual tables; same scope and revision limitations apply.",
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      "statistical_significance_claim": false
    },
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      "claim_id": "F04-D-WF-NET-FLOW-INCREASE",
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      "label": "Increase in net NHS-activity joiner flow",
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        "2024/2025",
        "2025/2026"
      ],
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      ],
      "retrieved_date_local": "2026-10-14",
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          "match": true
        },
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          "match": true
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  ],
  "published_analyses_reviewed": [
    {
      "analysis_id": "F04-A01",
      "title": "Are more people getting NHS dental care?",
      "publisher": "Healthwatch England",
      "publication_date": "2026-10-01",
      "source_url": "https://www.healthwatch.co.uk/blog/2026-10-01/are-more-people-getting-nhs-dental-care",
      "access": "Public full HTML inspected",
      "observed_focus": "Links higher activity, urgent-course growth and deprivation patterns to reported difficulties obtaining care.",
      "relationship_to_our_study": "Urgent growth is already discussed publicly. Our added contribution should be reproducible band-count growth decomposition, exact shares, extraction item/course distinction and workforce-flow reconciliation.",
      "not_carried_forward": "Survey access figures and patient stories are separate evidence populations; no causal claim is inherited."
    },
    {
      "analysis_id": "F04-A02",
      "title": "Three in five adults have not accessed NHS dental care in the last two years",
      "publisher": "Royal College of Surgeons of England",
      "publication_date": null,
      "publication_date_note": "The fetched page does not expose a reliable press-release publication date; it cites the27 August 2026 release.",
      "source_url": "https://rcseng.ac.uk/news-and-events/media-centre/press-releases/nhs-data-dental-access/",
      "access": "Public full HTML inspected",
      "observed_focus": "Highlights NHS patients-seen coverage and geographical differences alongside increased activity and dentist headcounts.",
      "relationship_to_our_study": "Avoid treating NHS non-attendance as absence of any private dental care; focus our study on matched activity units and accounting decomposition.",
      "not_carried_forward": "No appointment-availability or disease-need claim is inferred from course counts."
    },
    {
      "analysis_id": "F04-A03",
      "title": "Latest figures show that NHS dentistry has not bounced back since pandemic",
      "publisher": "British Dental Journal",
      "publication_date": "2026-09-11",
      "source_url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41415-026-0207-5",
      "doi": "10.1038/s41415-026-0207-5",
      "genre": "News/commentary, not a new peer-reviewed causal study",
      "access": "Public HTML inspected; browser initially showed a subscription preview, direct public download included article text without bypass.",
      "observed_focus": "Discusses BDA concerns about activity relative to pre-pandemic norms and contract reform.",
      "relationship_to_our_study": "Any2018/19 comparison would require that source and method comparability separately. We use the latest restated2024/25 and 2025/26 counts for main calculations.",
      "not_carried_forward": "Unmet-need estimates and policy-cause claims are not established by our COT/workforce calculations."
    }
  ],
  "study_type": "Original descriptive secondary analysis of official administrative data; not an official NHSBSA publication, clinical study, forecast or causal evaluation.",
  "recommended_original_contribution": "Explain which mutually exclusive claims-band categories account for the observed national course increase; distinguish courses from extraction items; reconcile national NHS-active workforce stocks and flows.",
  "writer_cautions": [
    "Use England and2025/26financial-year labels throughout.",
    "Retain estimated on clinical counts.",
    "All findings exclude private and NHS hospital care.",
    "Growing urgent-band activity does not establish improved appointment access or a causal policy effect.",
    "An accounting contribution to count growth is not causation.",
    "No patients, teeth per patient, instrument demand, retirement or FTE claim from these tables.",
    "Use current annual source figures, including corrected2024/25 historical workforce values.",
    "Do not present derived figures as NHSBSA-issued analyses or guarantee search visibility/citations."
  ]
}
